Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SURIGAE-21
in Japan, Philippines, Palau

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SURIGAE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Japan, Philippines, Palau
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 306 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (19 Apr 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Palau)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 287 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 306 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

287 km/h Current Max.

Up to <1000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 13 Apr 2021 12:00 213 No people No people
Green 2 13 Apr 2021 18:00 213 No people No people
Green 3 14 Apr 2021 00:00 213 30 thousand No people Palau
Green 4 14 Apr 2021 06:00 222 10 thousand No people Palau
Green 5 14 Apr 2021 12:00 222 10 thousand No people
Green 6 14 Apr 2021 18:00 213 10 thousand No people Palau
Green 7 15 Apr 2021 00:00 213 20 thousand No people Palau
Green 8 15 Apr 2021 06:00 213 1.1 million No people Palau, Philippines
Green 9 15 Apr 2021 12:00 213 780 thousand No people Palau, Philippines
Green 10 15 Apr 2021 18:00 222 4.8 million No people Palau, Philippines
Green 11 16 Apr 2021 00:00 222 850 thousand Few people Palau, Philippines
Green 12 16 Apr 2021 06:00 222 1.2 million Few people Palau, Philippines
Green 13 16 Apr 2021 12:00 222 7.4 million Few people Palau, Philippines
Green 14 16 Apr 2021 18:00 231 7 million Few people Palau, Philippines
Green 15 17 Apr 2021 00:00 241 1.2 million Few people Palau, Philippines
Green 16 17 Apr 2021 06:00 250 1.4 million Few people Philippines, Palau
Green 17 17 Apr 2021 12:00 287 2.2 million Few people Philippines, Palau

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 13 Apr 2021 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 7.9, 137.3
GREEN
2 13 Apr 2021 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 8.1, 137.1
GREEN
3 14 Apr 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 9600 people 8.5, 137.7
GREEN
4 14 Apr 2021 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 9600 people 8.9, 137.4
GREEN
5 14 Apr 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 8.9, 137
GREEN
6 14 Apr 2021 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 9700 people 8.9, 136.8
GREEN
7 15 Apr 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 13000 people 9, 136.4
GREEN
8 15 Apr 2021 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 31000 people 8.9, 136.3
GREEN
9 15 Apr 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 21000 people 9, 135.7
GREEN
10 15 Apr 2021 18:00 Category 1 120 no people 21000 people 8.6, 135.2
GREEN
11 16 Apr 2021 00:00 Category 1 139 <1000 people 21000 people 8.8, 134.6
GREEN
12 16 Apr 2021 06:00 Category 1 148 no people 21000 people 9.2, 133.7
GREEN
13 16 Apr 2021 12:00 Category 2 167 no people 21000 people 9.4, 132.9
GREEN
14 16 Apr 2021 18:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 10, 132.1
GREEN
15 17 Apr 2021 00:00 Category 4 222 no people no people 10.7, 131.1
GREEN
16 17 Apr 2021 06:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 11.3, 130.2
GREEN
17 17 Apr 2021 12:00 Category 5 287 no people 930000 people 12, 129.2
GREEN
17 18 Apr 2021 00:00 Category 5 269 no people 2.2 million people 13, 127.6
GREEN
17 18 Apr 2021 12:00 Category 4 250 no people 2.1 million people 13.8, 126.8
GREEN
17 19 Apr 2021 00:00 Category 4 231 no people 900000 people 14.5, 126.4
GREEN
17 19 Apr 2021 12:00 Category 4 222 no people 170000 people 15.2, 126.2
GREEN
17 20 Apr 2021 12:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 16.8, 125.7
GREEN
17 21 Apr 2021 12:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 18.6, 125.5
GREEN
17 22 Apr 2021 12:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 20.8, 127.1
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Pequit, Philippines. This height is estimated for 19 Apr 2021 01:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (153 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 17 of 17 Apr 2021 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Pequit Philippines  0.3
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Pabanong Philippines  0.3
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Hinabangan Philippines  0.3
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Wright Philippines  0.3
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Bangon Philippines  0.3
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Mualbual Philippines  0.3
18 Apr 2021 03:00 San Andres Philippines  0.3
19 Apr 2021 00:00 Bikal Philippines  0.2
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Tatabunan Philippines  0.2
19 Apr 2021 00:00 Babatngon Philippines  0.2
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Narombacan Philippines  0.2
19 Apr 2021 00:00 Guintampilan Philippines  0.2
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Macalonud Philippines  0.2
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Catbalogan Philippines  0.2
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Bagacay Philippines  0.2
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Bagas Philippines  0.2
19 Apr 2021 00:00 Pagsanjan Philippines  0.2
19 Apr 2021 00:00 Santa Margarita Philippines  0.2
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Barceloneta Philippines  0.2
19 Apr 2021 00:00 Bantayan Philippines  0.2
19 Apr 2021 00:00 Garchitorena Philippines  0.2
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Daram Philippines  0.2
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Igot Philippines  0.2
19 Apr 2021 00:00 Mapid Philippines  0.2
19 Apr 2021 00:00 Balaton Philippines  0.2
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Sillon Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Rizal Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 00:00 Madridejos Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 00:00 Barugo Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 San Vicente Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Silanga Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Capitun-an Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Paet Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Bahay Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Balat-guti Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Corocauayan Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Santo Nino Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Bitaogan Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Pandanan Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Colongcogong Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Sialat Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Calolbon Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Gitoma Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Miguel Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 00:00 Carigara Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Tabuelan Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Tabunok Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Batad Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Antipolo Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Tagaytay Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Bogo Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Catmon Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Tindog Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Borbon Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Tabogon Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Nailon Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Calape Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Salag Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Odlot Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Tagnucan Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Biliran Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Bitoon Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Calbayog Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Balud Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Caramoan Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Guijalo Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Manambrag Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Mandao Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Barana Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 San Vicente Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 02:00 Guiom Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 02:00 Cavayan Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 02:00 Labigan Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Cadiz Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Sagay Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Toboso Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Vito Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Salamanca Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 02:00 San Jose Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Basak Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Tabon Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Santo Nino Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 San Carlos Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Tigbon Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Cankamalig Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Calatrava Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Candugay Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Aloquinsan Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Awihao Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Carcar Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Balamban Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Abaca Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Plaridel Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Cebu Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 San Remigio Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Tindog Sur Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 08:00 Panganiban Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 00:00 Capoocan Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 00:00 Sugud Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 03:00 Escalante Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 02:00 Bais Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 02:00 Ayungon Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 02:00 Manjuyod Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 02:00 Malatapay Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 02:00 Tanjay Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 02:00 Tayasan Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 02:00 Jimalalud Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 02:00 La Libertad Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 02:00 Guihulngan Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 02:00 Calamba Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 02:00 Anao Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 02:00 Santander Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 02:00 Alegria Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 02:00 Moalboal Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 02:00 Alo Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 02:00 Badian Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 02:00 Ronda Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 02:00 Dumanjug Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 02:00 Boljoon Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 02:00 Napo Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Caridad Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Tuburan Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Calubian Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Lico Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Tucdao Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Culaba Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Tabojab Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Cabucgayan Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Caibiran Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Bonga Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Maya Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Talisay Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Alegria Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 06:00 Pandan Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Placer Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Domorog Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Bacjao Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Agutay Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Kawayan Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Vinzons Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Daet Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Talaga Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Tagontong Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Mambongalon Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Magtang Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 00:00 Tandoc Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Lamon Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Union Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Tinambac Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Gongonan Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Tinambacan Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Adiagnao Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 01:00 Managasnas Philippines  0.1